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Virginia Governor Polls | FiveThirtyEight
[ad_1] Who’s ahead in the Virginia governor’s race? An updating average for each candidate, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency Average as of 1632234864000 This state does not have enough data to show polling averages. Averages will not be displayed unless a state has at least five total polls or polls from at…
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GOP Critics Of Trump’s ‘Big Lie’ Are Struggling To Win Reelection
[ad_1] Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. He is one of the 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach former President Donald Trump after his supporters attacked the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses how…
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How Many House Republicans Who Voted To Impeach Trump Will Survive The Midterms?
[ad_1] Last Thursday, Republican Rep. Anthony Gonzalez of Ohio announced he would not seek reelection in 2022. The 37-year old congressman was one of 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach then-President Donald Trump after the Jan. 6 assault on the U.S. Capitol, and he is now the first to call it quits. Facing fervent…
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Politics Podcast: Can An Anti-Trump Republican Win A Primary?
[ad_1] Last Thursday, Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6th. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses how the…
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5 Things To Watch In Canada’s Big Election
[ad_1] It’s always an election year if you know where to look. This time, it’s up north: Canada heads to the polls today to decide whether to elect Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to another term. Think of this election like a U.S. presidential and congressional election all rolled into one: Under Canada’s parliamentary system, each…
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How The Fight Over Abortion Access Might Affect The 2022 Midterms
[ad_1] Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Roughly two weeks ago, a highly restrictive abortion law went into effect in Texas, outlawing abortions once fetal cardiac activity can be detected — usually about six weeks into a pregnancy — which is before most women know they are pregnant. On Tuesday, the Department of Justice…
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Do Voters Want Democrats Or Republicans In Congress?
[ad_1] Are Democrats Or Republicans Winning The Race For Congress? An updating estimate of the generic ballot, based on polls that ask people which party they would support in a congressional election. DATES POLLSTER GRADE SAMPLE WEIGHT REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT LEADER ADJUSTED LEADER MAY 27-30 YouGov B 1,266 RV 0.76 33% 39% Democrat +6 Democrat +8…
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Our Best Tool For Predicting Midterm Elections Doesn’t Show A Republican Wave — But History Is On The GOP’s Side
[ad_1] As it is every two years, control of the House and Senate will once again be at stake in the November 2022 midterm elections, and one of the best tools we have for predicting those election results is polling of the generic congressional ballot. The generic congressional ballot question typically asks respondents which party…
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What The Failed California Recall Does — And Doesn’t — Tell Us
[ad_1] In this late-night edition of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. Votes are still being counted, but it’s looking like the recall effort is going to fail by a sizable margin. [ad_2]
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Why A Republican Might Win In Virginia’s Governor Race, And How New Jersey’s Race Could Get Tighter
[ad_1] California’s recall election has understandably dominated headlines, but there are two other gubernatorial elections this November that might tell us more about the national environment: Virginia and New Jersey. To be sure, President Joe Biden carried both of these states by double-digit margins in 2020, and neither state has been terribly hospitable to Republicans…