[ad_1] Former President Donald Trump’s growing list of indictments may throw a wrench into his campaign schedule next year. SETH WENIG / AFP Former President Donald Trump’s year just got even busier.  On Tuesday, Trump was indicted by special counsel Jack Smith on four counts: conspiracy to defraud the U.S. government, conspiracy to violate people’s…

[ad_1] Polls suggest that voters might take charges related to the attempted reversal of the 2020 election more seriously than past indictments. Samuel Corum / Getty Images Stop us if you’ve heard this one before: On Tuesday, former President Donald Trump was indicted for the third time. Federal prosecutors have charged him with four counts…

[ad_1] Former President Donald Trump’s particular form of masculinity — based less on physical abilities and more on dominating opponents — is hard to replicate, his 2024 challengers are finding. BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI / AFP via Getty Images The contest to prove which Republican is the manliest is in full swing. Over the past few months,…

[ad_1] Calculations from the World Meteorological Organization suggest that July was the hottest month on record. Throughout the month, heat records were broken across the globe. Phoenix, Arizona, recorded 31 days in a row of temperatures over 110 degrees Fahrenheit and Sanbao, China, provisionally recorded the country’s all-time hottest temperature of 126 degrees. In this…

[ad_1] Calculations from the World Meteorological Organization suggest that July was the hottest month on record. Throughout the month, heat records were broken across the globe. Phoenix, Arizona, recorded 31 days in a row of temperatures over 110 degrees Fahrenheit and Sanbao, China, provisionally recorded the country’s all-time hottest temperature of 126 degrees. In this installment of…

[ad_1] ABC News Photo Illustration / AP Photo In the ongoing experiment that is democracy, every election creates ripple effects for the ones to follow. But occasionally there is an election cycle so disruptive, it changes practically everything. We saw it in 2000, when the contested presidential results in Florida led to a complete overhaul…

[ad_1] Indiana Rep. Victoria Spartz is one of just two House members this cycle who have announced they are retiring from the House, and not seeking another office — a fairly low number by historic standards. Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images With a presidential election on the docket in 2024, much of the political spotlight…

[ad_1] Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight’s previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send…

[ad_1] Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. nrakich (Nathaniel Rakich, senior elections analyst): It’s not too early to think about which candidates might drop out of the 2024 Republican presidential primary soon. In 2020, the first major Democratic candidate to drop out of the race (Rep. Eric Swalwell) did…

[ad_1] Photo illustration by Emily Scherer The Supreme Court’s 2022 decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization transformed the politics of abortion, turning an issue that once mattered mostly to conservative Christians into a powerful voting issue on the left. But new polling suggests that the decision could also be reshaping the way abortion-rights…