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The State Of The Union Was A Preview Of Biden’s Likely Reelection Campaign
[ad_1] President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of the arguments he could make in his likely 2024 reelection bid. In the installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast, the crew discusses the…
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Are Americans Ready For Some Football?
[ad_1] PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / USATODAY SPORTS VIA REUTERS Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Growing up, I always celebrated Super Bowl Sunday with my family. I say celebrated because for us, as for many Americans, it was about so much more than the game. The food, the halftime show, the ads —…
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Congress’s U-Turn Has States Thinking About Giving Parents Cash
[ad_1] Jemal Countess / Getty Images for Community Change Last year, Congress walked away from what looked like one of the most effective fixes for child poverty in a generation. Now, state legislators are trying to walk it back. Lawmakers in at least 10 states are considering some new version of the expanded child tax…
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What’s The Deal With Political Trifectas?
[ad_1] Transcript Nathaniel Rakich: In November 2022, Democrats in four states achieved trifectas. No, they didn’t get lucky down at the track — although they did win a horse race of a different sort: They won the three elections that determine control of state government. And this kind of trifecta is even more valuable than…
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Why Biden’s Promise Of Police Reform Might Not Lead To Change
[ad_1] Tayfun Coskun / Anadolu Agency via Getty Images A State of the Union address is often a highlight reel of the president’s accomplishments — but it’s a policy wish list, too. It makes sense, then, that President Biden called upon Congress to “get the job done” on police reform in this year’s speech —…
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Politics Podcast: Biden’s Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech
[ad_1] President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of the arguments he could make in his likely 2024 reelection bid. In the installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the…
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Americans Usually Blame Republicans After Showdowns Over Government Spending
[ad_1] SAUL LOEB / AFP via Getty Images Playing chicken with the national economy is not unusual for Congress and the president. There was the time that former President Donald Trump ground the government to a halt because he wanted money for his border wall. Oh, and the time that tea party Republicans threatened to…
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The Model Always Had Its Doubts About The Red Wave
[ad_1] In this installment of “Model Talk” on the FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast, Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race,…
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In Defense Of The Mostly Pointless State Of The Union
[ad_1] Shawn Thew / Pool / Getty Images The State of the Union is a little like New Year’s Eve. It’s an annual tradition that’s been practiced for more than a century. It can be a great moment to pause and consider the year to come. And if you expect it to be life-changing, you’re…
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Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did
[ad_1] In this installment of “Model Talk” on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race,…